Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-06 0.470166 0.521762 0.577372 0.641878 0.714786 0.794799 0.889477
2025-04-13 0.372556 0.440271 0.518702 0.616720 0.736578 0.879186 1.062913
2025-04-20 0.330357 0.407142 0.500492 0.623260 0.781834 0.981603 1.255258
2025-04-27 0.300259 0.382754 0.487052 0.630068 0.823371 1.078863 1.447633
2025-05-04 0.276247 0.362383 0.474985 0.635048 0.860112 1.170422 1.639691
2025-05-11 0.255495 0.343651 0.462324 0.636473 0.890137 1.253460 1.826761
2025-05-18 0.240029 0.330313 0.455162 0.643849 0.927876 1.349527 2.042311
2025-05-25 0.220306 0.309122 0.434790 0.629582 0.931266 1.393358 2.180123
2025-06-01 0.209728 0.300053 0.430833 0.638795 0.970336 1.494697 2.420990
2025-06-08 0.196684 0.286246 0.418580 0.633847 0.986033 1.559357 2.606639
2025-06-15 0.187522 0.277511 0.413153 0.638792 1.017554 1.652178 2.851226
2025-06-22 0.175925 0.264183 0.399559 0.629247 1.023685 1.701811 3.022565
2025-06-29 0.166281 0.253445 0.389551 0.625199 1.039500 1.771073 3.241955
2025-07-06 0.153116 0.236301 0.368147 0.600345 1.016780 1.769046 3.323335
2025-07-13 0.147371 0.230736 0.365182 0.606718 1.050127 1.872922 3.628960
2025-07-20 0.142131 0.225629 0.362554 0.613317 1.084217 1.981265 3.957937
2025-07-27 0.136977 0.220314 0.359158 0.618145 1.115185 2.086342 4.293923
2025-08-03 0.131621 0.214312 0.354144 0.619527 1.139449 2.180163 4.617613
2025-08-10 0.127587 0.210325 0.352354 0.626678 1.175526 2.301696 5.021969
2025-08-17 0.120577 0.200741 0.340017 0.612845 1.168042 2.330388 5.209814
2025-08-24 0.117450 0.197840 0.339521 0.621778 1.207975 2.465364 5.677218
2025-08-31 0.112556 0.191498 0.332333 0.616981 1.218583 2.536371 5.993584
2025-09-07 0.109299 0.187935 0.330060 0.621776 1.250006 2.657609 6.459100